Germany coronavirus: Record rise prompts warning of 100,000 deaths

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  • Coronavirus pandemic

Image caption, Of the 18 patients on this Covid ward in Leipzig, 14 were unvaccinated

One of Germany's top virologists has warned that a further 100,000 people will die from Covid if nothing's done to halt an aggressive fourth wave.

Case numbers have soared and Germany on Wednesday registered its highest rate of infection since the pandemic began, with almost 40,000 cases in a day.

"We have to act right now," said Christian Drosten, who described a real emergency situation.

Doctors in the intensive care Covid ward at Leipzig University Hospital warn this fourth wave could be the worst yet.

One patient here, a woman in her 20s, has just given birth. Her baby is fine, but staff say they don't know whether she'll survive.

This state of Saxony has the highest seven-day infection rate in Germany at 459 cases per 100,000 people. The national rate is 232.

It also has the lowest take-up of vaccine: 57% of the population here have been vaccinated.

There are 18 patients on the Covid ward. Just four were vaccinated.

"It's very difficult to get staff motivated to treat patients now in this fourth wave," says Prof Sebastian Stehr, who heads the department. "A large part of the population still underestimates the problem."

By now, Prof Sehr says, most people will know someone who's had Covid and should, therefore, be aware of the risk of infection. "Nevertheless," he adds, "we are still seeing so many patients who are not vaccinated."

Germany's health minister has publicly blamed those people for the soaring cases, describing the current situation as a "pandemic of the unvaccinated".


data in detail

Scroll table to see more data

*Deaths per 100,000 people

Filter:

The world
Africa
North America
Latin America & Caribbean
Asia
Europe
Middle East
Oceania

Country

Deaths

Death rate*

Total Cases

New Cases

0

10
100
1k
10k

**

US

750,853

228.8

46,275,771

Brazil

609,447

288.8

21,880,439

India

461,057

33.7

34,366,987

Mexico

289,734

227.1

3,826,786

Russia

242,241

167.8

8,651,561

Peru

200,446

616.6

2,207,470

Indonesia

143,545

53.0

4,248,165

UK

141,805

212.2

9,301,909

Italy

132,391

219.6

4,808,047

Colombia

127,533

253.3

5,015,042

Iran

127,299

153.5

5,987,814

France

117,893

175.8

7,217,484

Argentina

116,104

258.4

5,296,781

Germany

96,563

116.2

4,792,465

South Africa

89,332

152.6

2,923,956

Spain

87,504

185.9

5,025,639

Poland

77,757

204.8

3,104,220

Ukraine

77,130

173.8

3,232,035

Turkey

72,127

86.5

8,233,649

Romania

50,755

262.2

1,706,882

Philippines

44,430

41.1

2,803,213

Chile

37,862

199.8

1,709,189

Ecuador

32,989

189.9

519,386

Hungary

31,184

319.2

892,164

Czech Republic

31,053

291.0

1,819,158

Malaysia

29,291

91.7

2,506,309

Canada

29,203

77.7

1,738,543

Pakistan

28,547

13.2

1,277,160

Bangladesh

27,895

17.1

1,571,013

Belgium

26,131

227.5

1,414,463

Tunisia

25,276

216.1

713,308

Bulgaria

25,074

359.4

632,762

Iraq

23,344

59.4

2,062,863

Vietnam

22,531

23.4

968,684

Thailand

19,703

28.3

1,975,591

Egypt

19,076

19.0

337,485

Bolivia

18,964

164.7

517,902

Myanmar

18,821

34.8

506,816

Netherlands

18,561

107.1

2,201,010

Japan

18,306

14.5

1,723,682

Portugal

18,203

177.3

1,097,557

Kazakhstan

17,263

93.2

1,029,986

Greece

16,295

152.1

784,904

Paraguay

16,259

230.8

461,313

Guatemala

15,437

93.0

605,664

Sweden

15,057

146.4

1,177,094

Morocco

14,713

40.3

947,396

Sri Lanka

13,856

63.6

545,256

Slovakia

13,229

242.6

518,635

Bosnia and Herzegovina

11,717

355.0

257,401

Austria

11,502

129.6

883,887

Nepal

11,448

40.0

814,558

Switzerland

11,274

131.5

887,446

Jordan

11,128

110.2

875,804

Georgia

10,509

282.5

755,046

Serbia

10,405

149.8

1,183,025

Honduras

10,308

105.8

376,281

Croatia

9,500

233.6

501,327

Saudi Arabia

8,804

25.7

548,930

Lebanon

8,546

124.7

646,629

Cuba

8,262

72.9

955,981

Israel

8,122

89.7

1,333,989

Moldova

8,099

304.7

345,964

Panama

7,329

172.6

473,416

Afghanistan

7,284

19.1

156,397

Azerbaijan

7,269

72.5

547,281

North Macedonia

7,232

347.1

206,077

Costa Rica

7,134

141.3

562,316

Armenia

6,700

226.5

321,243

Ethiopia

6,542

5.8

367,210

Lithuania

6,135

220.1

428,541

Uruguay

6,086

175.8

395,268

Algeria

5,945

13.8

207,156

Ireland

5,492

111.1

469,386

Kenya

5,312

10.1

253,833

Libya

5,207

76.8

360,914

Venezuela

4,965

17.4

413,135

China

4,849

0.3

110,268

Slovenia

4,830

231.3

355,979

Belarus

4,745

50.1

613,927

Palestinian Territories

4,705

100.4

455,099

Zimbabwe

4,685

32.0

133,187

Dominican Republic

4,150

38.6

388,165

Oman

4,112

82.7

304,365

El Salvador

3,690

57.2

116,258

Zambia

3,664

20.5

209,902

Namibia

3,563

142.8

129,009

Latvia

3,499

182.9

231,824

Uganda

3,227

7.3

126,570

Sudan

3,099

7.2

40,433

South Korea

2,980

5.8

381,694

Kosovo

2,978

166.0

160,872

Albania

2,955

103.5

189,125

Nigeria

2,906

1.4

212,713

Cambodia

2,835

17.2

119,160

Denmark

2,738

47.1

402,561

Kyrgyzstan

2,689

41.6

181,882

Syria

2,593

15.2

44,191

Kuwait

2,462

58.5

412,844

Botswana

2,407

104.5

192,935

Malawi

2,302

12.4

61,815

Jamaica

2,275

77.2

89,681

Montenegro

2,148

345.3

148,579

United Arab Emirates

2,140

21.9

740,432

Mozambique

1,934

6.4

151,368

Yemen

1,909

6.5

9,870

Senegal

1,880

11.5

73,935

Australia

1,827

7.2

181,578

Mongolia

1,817

56.3

367,412

Trinidad and Tobago

1,772

127.0

59,304

Cameroon

1,731

6.7

104,348

Angola

1,720

5.4

64,674

Estonia

1,610

121.4

205,096

Bahrain

1,393

84.9

277,081

Uzbekistan

1,340

4.0

188,169

Rwanda

1,334

10.6

99,947

Somalia

1,294

8.4

22,693

Eswatini

1,244

108.4

46,457

Finland

1,188

21.5

162,476

Ghana

1,188

3.9

130,391

Suriname

1,117

192.1

49,602

DR Congo

1,098

1.3

57,605

Madagascar

964

3.6

43,632

Guyana

941

120.2

36,079

Norway

922

17.2

216,855

Luxembourg

849

137.0

82,842

Taiwan

847

3.6

16,442

Guadeloupe

820

205.0

54,474

Mauritania

801

17.7

37,703

Tanzania

725

1.2

26,196

Ivory Coast

699

2.7

61,421

Haiti

685

6.1

24,073

Martinique

683

181.9

43,347

Fiji

674

75.7

52,247

Lesotho

659

31.0

21,685

Bahamas

657

168.7

22,485

French Polynesia

636

227.7

45,573

Qatar

611

21.6

240,098

Cyprus

577

48.1

125,413

Mali

576

2.9

16,371

Belize

509

130.4

27,894

Singapore

497

8.7

218,333

Malta

462

91.9

37,904

Papua New Guinea

407

4.6

31,479

Guinea

385

3.0

30,681

Réunion

376

42.3

55,125

Cape Verde

349

63.5

38,256

Gambia

341

14.5

9,973

French Guiana

313

107.6

44,964

Congo

297

5.5

17,944

Liberia

287

5.8

5,815

New Caledonia

268

93.1

11,306

Saint Lucia

260

142.2

12,688

Gabon

254

11.7

36,174

Maldives

245

46.1

88,817

Togo

243

3.0

26,114

Burkina Faso

221

1.1

15,103

Niger

220

0.9

6,490

Nicaragua

209

3.2

16,699

Mauritius

199

15.7

18,314

Grenada

198

176.8

5,861

Djibouti

186

19.1

13,491

Mayotte

185

69.5

20,651

Barbados

180

62.7

20,069

Curaçao

175

111.1

17,156

Chad

175

1.1

5,107

Aruba

172

161.8

16,006

Equatorial Guinea

168

12.4

13,407

Benin

161

1.4

24,804

Comoros

147

17.3

4,315

Guinea-Bissau

143

7.4

6,150

South Sudan

133

1.2

12,453

Andorra

130

168.5

15,618

Tajikistan

125

1.3

17,486

Timor-Leste

122

9.4

19,799

Sierra Leone

121

1.5

6,398

Seychelles

119

121.9

22,381

Bermuda

106

165.8

5,677

Antigua and Barbuda

105

108.1

4,091

Channel Islands

103

59.8

13,684

Central African Republic

100

2.1

11,579

Gibraltar

98

290.8

6,153

Brunei

93

21.5

13,742

San Marino

92

271.7

5,588

Laos

82

1.1

47,056

Sint Maarten

75

184.1

4,510

St Vincent and the Grenadines

69

62.4

5,092

Liechtenstein

61

160.4

3,728

Isle of Man

60

70.9

9,970

Saint Martin

56

147.4

3,941

Sao Tome and Principe

56

26.0

3,729

Eritrea

46

1.3

6,948

Burundi

38

0.3

20,136

British Virgin Islands

37

123.2

2,725

Monaco

36

92.4

3,436

Iceland

34

9.4

14,255

New Zealand

32

0.7

7,648

Dominica

32

44.6

4,961

Saint Kitts and Nevis

25

47.3

2,717

Turks and Caicos Islands

23

60.2

3,017

Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba

20

77.0

2,501

Diamond Princess cruise ship

13

712

Wallis and Futuna Islands

7

61.2

454

Saint Barthelemy

6

60.9

1,660

Faroe Islands

5

10.3

2,615

Bhutan

3

0.4

2,623

Cayman Islands

2

3.1

2,676

MS Zaandam cruise ship

2

9

Anguilla

1

6.7

1,039

Montserrat

1

20.0

41

Vanuatu

1

0.3

6

Greenland

0

0.0

859

Falkland Islands

0

0.0

72

Saint Pierre and Miquelon

0

0.0

32

Vatican

0

0.0

27

Solomon Islands

0

0.0

20

Palau

0

0.0

8

Marshall Islands

0

0.0

4

Saint Helena

0

0.0

4

Samoa

0

0.0

3

Kiribati

0

0.0

2

Micronesia

0

0.0

1

Tonga

0

0.0

1

Cook Islands

0

0.0

1

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This information is regularly updated but may not reflect the latest totals for each country.

** The past data for new cases is a three day rolling average. Due to revisions in the number of cases, an average cannot be calculated for this date.

Source: Johns Hopkins University and national public health agencies

Figures last updated: 8 November 2021, 09:22 GMT

At the start of this week, Saxony banned unvaccinated people from bars, restaurants, public events and sport and leisure facilities. At least several other states are expected to follow suit.

Germany's anti-vaxxers are furious. Several thousand protested last weekend in Leipzig.

"This is discrimination, and we want to express vehemently that we do not accept this in our society," said Leif Hansen, who represents anti-vax "Bewegung Leipzig" (Leipzig Movement). He doesn't trust the companies that made the vaccine or the authorities who approved it.

"They say the vaccination is ok, that I should give it to my children? Never!" he told me. "I have a feeling that it should never go into my body, and I will fight all I can to prevent it coming into my body."

Image caption, Anti-vaxxers out in force in the city of Leipzig, in Saxony: This eastern state has the lowest vaccine take-up rate in Germany

Sixteen million Germans over the age of 12 have not been fully vaccinated. The German government has admitted it's unlikely to persuade many of those people now, and politicians worry that social divisions might deepen.

What many fear is another lockdown. Nadine Herzog's bar in Leipzig barely survived the last one. She deftly prepares cocktails as she tells us that even before the authorities required it she and her co-owner banned unvaccinated drinkers.

"My business is dying. My dreams came true and now they suffer from people who don't do logical things to prevent others from getting ill or dying and I'm so angry," she told the BBC.

A long queue formed outside a vaccine centre in the city earlier in the week. Evidence, perhaps, that some have changed their minds. But Germany is also now rolling out booster jabs amid concerns about waning protection in those who have been vaccinated.

On the intensive care Covid unit they fear the damage is done. Operations have already been cancelled, procedures postponed to make way for Covid patients.

Doctors here told us that nearly half of the people who end up here will die.

For Germany, which invented one of the world's first Covid vaccines, that is a source of great shame.

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